Provincial Economic Growth in Indonesia: Investigating with Inflation, Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment

  • Andi Sessu Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. DR. HAMKA (UHAMKA) Jakarta
  • Herman Sjahruddin Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Makassar Bongaya
Keywords: Economic Growth, Exchange Rates, FDI, Inflation

Abstract

This study explores the determinants of Indonesia's economic growth factors through inflation, exchange rates and foreign direct investment based on a quantitative paradigm. This research uses all provinces in Indonesia as population except (Bengkulu, West Sulawesi, Maluku, Gorontalo, Southwest Papua, Central Papua, Mountainous Papua and South Papua) leaving only 30 provinces as data analysis units through purposive sampling. Data were analyzed using panel data regression analysis using Eviews-13. The results of the modeling selection determined that the selected model was a random effect model with a modeling contribution = 20.10%. The findings of this research provide evidence that higher inflation and foreign direct investment (FDI) have proven to have a real impact on economic growth, whereas a decrease in the exchange rate has proven unable to increase provincial economic growth in Indonesia.

References

Abdullah, A., & Hasbiullah. (2023). The influence of inflation, provincial minimum wage, capital expenditure, and unemployment on gross regional domestic product in Indonesia. ICOR: Journal of Regional Economics, 4(1), 12-22

Adi, H. A., & Syahlina, S. (2020). Analysis of the influence of foreign investment (PMDN) and foreign investment (PMA) on gross regional domestic product (GRDP) in Jambi Province. Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu, 10(1), 45–57

Aji, G., Kharisma, E. N., Syafa’ah, A., Putri, E. K., & Parwati, I. (2023). Literature study of the influence of exports, imports, rupiah exchange rate, and inflation rate on economic growth in Indonesia. Jurnal Econetica: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Ekonomi, Dan Bisnis, 5(1), 10–20.

Ariska, A., Nurjannah, N., & Salman, S. (2023). The influence of foreign investment, labor and inflation on economic growth in Indonesia. Jurnal Riset Manajemen Dan Ekonomi (JRIME), 1(2), 136-148.

Azam, M., & Khan, S. (2022). Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and economic growth: Further empirical evidence from the developed and developing world. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 27(4), 4224-4243

Chindengwike, J. (2023). The Nexus between Inflation and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Countries.: An Empirical Study using VECM. Journal of Global Economy, 19(2), 109-136.

Kartika, Y. D., & Pasaribu, J. P. K. (2023). Effect of inflation on economic growth in Indonesia Period 2013-2021. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan (JUMANAGE), 2(1), 131–137.

Mankiw, N. G. (2006). The macroeconomist as scientist and engineer. Journal of economic perspectives, 20(4), 29-46.

Majumder, S. C., & Rahman, M. H. (2020). Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth of China after economic reform. Journal of Entrepreneurship, Business and Economics, 8(2), 120-153.

Murshed, M., Nurmakhanova, M., Al-Tal, R., Mahmood, H., Elheddad, M., & Ahmed, R. (2022). Can intra-regional trade, renewable energy use, foreign direct investments, and economic growth mitigate ecological footprints in South Asia?. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 17(1), 2038730.

Nisa, B., Ridwan, M., & Batubara, M. (2023). Economic growth in Southeast Asian Muslim countries according to an Islamic economic perspective (Case study of Indonesia and Malaysia). 9(02), 2567–2574

Olamide, E., Ogujiuba, K., & Maredza, A. (2022). Exchange rate volatility, inflation and economic growth in developing countries: Panel data approach for SADC. Economies, 10(3), 67.

Puspaningtyas, L., Afifi, H. M., & Ismiwati, B. (2021). Analysis of the influence of inflation, unemployment, poverty and the rupiah exchange rate on economic growth in NTB 2005-2021. Oportunitas Ekonomi Pembangunan, 2(1), 98–107.

Putra, F. A. (2022). The influence of exports, imports and exchange rates on economic growth in Indonesia. Growth: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol, 1(2), 124–137.

Putra, R. W., & Anis, A. (2022). Economic growth and unemployment rates in Indonesia analyze the influence of foreign tourist visits. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 4(4), 77–87.

Salim, A., Fadilla, F., & Purnamasari, A. (2021). The influence of inflation on Indonesia's economic growth. Ekonomica Sharia: Jurnal Pemikiran dan Pengembangan Ekonomi Syariah, 7(1), 17-28.

Simanungkalit, E. F. B. (2020). The influence of inflation on economic growth in Indonesia. Journal Of Management, 13(3), 327–340.

Slamet, A., & Hidayah, A. N. (2022). Analysis of the influence of exports, imports, rupiah exchange rate and inflation on Indonesia's economic growth in 2000-2019. Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies, 1(3), 183

Tajudin, T. (2023). The influence of regional spending, PMA and PMDN on the gross regional domestic product of Sulawesi Province. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan Dan Ekonomi, 20(01), 20–28.

Tito Wardani, N., & Muchtolifah, M. (2022). Analysis of the influence of local revenue, general allocation funds, domestic investment and foreign investment on gross regional domestic product in East Java Province. Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Ekonomi, 7(1), 95–106.

Wahyudi, K., Baining, M. E., & Khairiyani. (2023). The influence of inflation, BI-7 day reverse repo rate (BI7DRR), and the exchange rate on the net asset value (NAV) of sharia stock mutual funds with economic growth as a moderating variable. Jurma?: Jurnal Riset Manajemen, 1(1) 139-157.

Wang, M. L., Sarkodie Ntim, V., Yang, J., Zheng, Q., & Geng, L. (2022). Effect of institutional quality and foreign direct investment on economic growth and environmental quality: Evidence from African countries. Economic research-Ekonomska istraživanja, 35(1), 4065-4091.

Wei, X., Mohsin, M., & Zhang, Q. (2022). Role of foreign direct investment and economic growth in renewable energy development. Renewable Energy, 192, 828-837.

Widiyarto, T., & Arianti, F. (2022). The influence of investment, population and inflation on gross regional domestic product in Central Java Province 2014-2018. Diponegoro Journal of Economics, 11(1), 13–25.

Wiriani, E., & Mukarramah. (2020). The Effect of Inflation and Exchange Rates on Indonesia's Economic Growth. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika, 4(1), 41–50.

Published
2023-10-15
How to Cite
Sessu, A., & Sjahruddin, H. (2023). Provincial Economic Growth in Indonesia: Investigating with Inflation, Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment. International Journal of Health, Economics, and Social Sciences (IJHESS), 5(4), 527~535. https://doi.org/10.56338/ijhess.v5i4.4396
Section
Articles